Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 358.451474 406.642430 460.184361 524.307186 599.307212 684.604406 789.453119
2025-10-05 296.673570 362.338893 442.032276 546.830817 682.436071 853.936352 1090.384252
2025-10-12 265.678927 340.520365 436.815947 571.740197 759.041281 1014.609752 1398.106566
2025-10-19 236.481859 314.672931 419.993681 575.227135 803.399671 1134.996752 1669.760761
2025-10-26 208.915110 286.467894 394.863940 561.394480 818.092661 1211.588062 1886.944631
2025-11-02 188.117398 264.802878 375.525254 552.019089 835.984953 1293.048632 2124.371982
2025-11-09 177.136697 255.820087 373.114029 567.067189 892.884928 1444.127200 2509.152323
2025-11-16 163.574210 241.375651 360.526089 563.814412 918.282214 1544.762431 2822.058182
2025-11-23 151.049283 227.213975 346.710526 556.441551 934.807989 1631.079447 3124.278681
2025-11-30 142.112537 217.815066 339.434101 558.949731 968.667919 1754.041818 3528.056949
2025-12-07 131.842253 205.320779 325.779849 548.505197 976.682384 1827.408167 3840.090160
2025-12-14 124.019170 196.191259 316.897393 545.496827 998.197641 1930.969653 4245.412259
2025-12-21 113.283664 181.534326 297.579877 521.774444 976.914901 1943.999218 4443.519934
2025-12-28 110.412097 180.143425 301.475224 542.560365 1049.587960 2175.631426 5264.652550
2026-01-04 108.297621 179.843909 307.202755 567.440351 1134.542503 2452.048008 6296.788245
2026-01-11 103.437892 174.228860 302.579615 570.871872 1172.814691 2624.552651 7088.034844
2026-01-18 96.854224 164.986407 290.335807 557.165897 1170.072028 2693.990332 7585.997967
2026-01-25 91.376793 157.405393 280.665925 547.873747 1176.370345 2788.244724 8197.881774
2026-02-01 89.096471 155.638822 282.149253 562.787614 1243.097733 3058.813453 9516.942145
2026-02-08 85.008535 150.138669 275.760944 559.563912 1264.347562 3206.948466 10453.704496
2026-02-15 80.812567 144.153189 267.930094 552.256853 1274.148759 3324.128044 11321.393070
2026-02-22 77.888597 140.460597 264.505576 554.742666 1310.037108 3527.966286 12633.241562
2026-03-01 73.960672 134.533858 255.994549 544.391148 1309.907361 3619.723344 13508.011087